Market Basket Inflation
+4.9%
Jan '24 → Mar '26
Highest Inflation
🐑 Sheep / Lamb
+12.4%
Lowest / Deflation
🫙 Sunflower Oil (1.5L)
-8.2%
Market Basket — Inflation Index (% vs Start of Range)
Average inflation index (base = start of range) across all 40 items · Jan '24 – Mar '26 · Hover an event number to see details
Supply RiskPrice EasePolicyGeopolitical
All ItemsEx-OnionsOnions excluded as a major outlier (India ban 2024)
Events:— hover a number to see details
Inflation by Food Category (%)
Jan '24 → Mar '26
Inflation by Outlet (%)
Jan '24 → Mar '26 · Average across all tracked items
Carrefour
+5.5%
Spinneys
+5.2%
Waitrose
+5.2%
Lulu
+3.9%
Key Market Events
● Feb 2026: Carrefour cut prices on 1,000+ essentials
● Mar 2026: Lulu froze 300 items + 65% discounts on 5,500 products
● Feb–Mar 2026: Ramadan price controls on 9 key staples
Inflation by Item (%)
Jan '24 → Mar '26 · Sorted by highest inflation
Inflation Bubble Map
Bubble size = inflation magnitude · Warm = price rise · Cool = price drop · Click to explore
>+15%+5–15%0–5%0 to −5%<−5%
🐑+12.4%
🦐+12.4%
🍗+12.4%
🥩+12.4%
🥩+12.4%
🐟+12.4%
🐠+12.4%
🥩+12.4%
🐡+12.4%
🥛+8.6%
🥛+8.6%
🥛+8.5%
🍼+8.5%
🧀+8.5%
🧀+8.5%
🍼+8.5%
🥚+8.5%
🥛+8.5%
🥛+8.5%
🥫+8.5%
🍝+5.3%
🥣+5.3%
🌴+5.3%
🥜+5.2%
🥒+2.3%
🧅+2.3%
🍅+2.3%
🍋+2.3%
🍌+2.3%
🍎+2.2%
🥔+2.2%
🍊+2.2%
🍞-5.2%
🍬-5.2%
🌾-5.2%
🌾-5.2%
🍞-5.2%
🫓-5.4%
🫒-8.2%
🫙-8.2%
Ranked by Inflation
Category
Item Price Table— All Brands & Outlets
Click any item to expand brand-level price trend · Prices in AED
>3% high 1–3% moderate 0–1% low deflation
| Item | Mar '26 | vs Jan '24 | Approved |
|---|---|---|---|
🐑Sheep / Lamb✓ LTL | 46.84 | +12.4% | — |
🦐Fresh Shrimp (1kg)✓ LTL | 46.62 | +12.4% | — |
🍗Fresh Whole Chicken✓ LTL | 29.17 | +12.4% | 18.90-35.2% |
🥩Fresh Beef (1kg)✓ LTL | 38.95 | +12.4% | — |
🥩Frozen Minced Meat✓ LTL | 10.24 | +12.4% | — |
🐟Fresh Fish Fillet✓ LTL | 72.59 | +12.4% | — |
🐠Fresh Hamour /✓ LTL | 57.53 | +12.4% | — |
🥩Fresh Minced Beef✓ LTL | 51.94 | +12.4% | 17.48-66.3% |
🐡Fresh Kingfish (1kg)✓ LTL | 52.31 | +12.4% | — |
🥛Fresh Full-Fat Milk✓ LTL | 6.66 | +8.6% | 6.65-0.2% |
🥛Long Life UHT✓ LTL | 4.63 | +8.6% | — |
🥛Fresh Plain Yoghurt✓ LTL | 6.77 | +8.5% | — |
🍼Baby Food (jarred,✓ LTL | 30.17 | +8.5% | — |
🧀Fresh / Bulk✓ LTL | 42.85 | +8.5% | — |
🧀Cream Cheese (200g)✓ LTL | 9.66 | +8.5% | — |
🍼Baby Dry Milk✓ LTL | 130.76 | +8.5% | — |
🥚Local White Eggs✓ LTL | 23.34 | +8.5% | 24.50+5.0% |
🥛Dry Powdered Milk✓ LTL | 92.21 | +8.5% | — |
🥛Buttermilk / Laban✓ LTL | 6.83 | +8.5% | — |
🥫Condensed / Evaporated✓ LTL | 2.90 | +8.5% | — |
🍝Pasta (400-500g pack)✓ LTL | 5.41 | +5.3% | 10.25+89.4% |
🥣Breakfast Cereal (500g)✓ LTL | 26.69 | +5.3% | — |
🌴Dried Dates (1kg)✓ LTL | 25.30 | +5.3% | — |
🥜Mixed Nuts (1kg)✓ LTL | 55.46 | +5.2% | — |
🥒Cucumber (1kg)✓ LTL | 4.81 | +2.3% | 9.99+107.7% |
🧅Onions (1kg)✓ LTL | 5.12 | +2.3% | 4.50-12.0% |
🍅Tomatoes (1kg)✓ LTL | 4.91 | +2.3% | 6.99+42.4% |
🍋Lemons (1kg)✓ LTL | 7.52 | +2.3% | — |
🍌Bananas (1kg)✓ LTL | 6.36 | +2.3% | 32.99+418.7% |
🍎Apples (1kg)✓ LTL | 10.62 | +2.2% | — |
🥔Potatoes (1kg)✓ LTL | 4.31 | +2.2% | 4.50+4.4% |
🍊Oranges (1kg)✓ LTL | 6.11 | +2.2% | — |
🍞Samoli / Burger✓ LTL | 3.25 | -5.2% | — |
🍬White Sugar (2kg✓ LTL | 8.16 | -5.2% | 14.50+77.6% |
🌾Wheat Flour (10kg✓ LTL | 32.32 | -5.2% | 11.29-65.1% |
🌾Basmati Rice (5kg✓ LTL | 29.14 | -5.2% | — |
🍞Toast / Sliced✓ LTL | 5.68 | -5.2% | — |
🫓Lebanese Flatbread (6✓ LTL | 3.09 | -5.4% | — |
🫒Olive Oil (500ml)✓ LTL | 82.70 | -8.2% | — |
🫙Sunflower Oil (1.5L)✓ LTL | 22.17 | -8.2% | 44.54+101.0% |